U.S. Hurricanes: History & Forecasts-U.S. Hurricanes: History & Forecasts

Video Transcription

Video Summary

The video discusses the history and forecasts of hurricanes in the US, focusing on the upcoming 2023 hurricane season and the processes involved in creating seasonal hurricane forecasts. Phil Klotzbach, a research scientist, explains the impact of El Nino and La Nina on hurricane activity, factors influencing hurricane formation, and the significance of climate phenomena in predicting hurricane seasons. Insights into forecast methodologies, statistical models, sea surface temperatures, and wind patterns are provided. The importance of historical data, uncertainty in forecasts, and observation technologies for accurate predictions is emphasized. The discussion also covers trends in hurricane activity since 1990, impacts of climate change on storm intensity, and the increased threat of heavy rainfall. The transcript highlights the use of analogs and the need to communicate forecast uncertainty to the public effectively. Overall, the video provides a comprehensive overview of hurricane forecasting, historical trends, and the potential effects of climate change on future storm activity and impact.

Asset Caption

Date of Publication: June 6, 2023
Duration: 62 minutes

Hurricane damage has been increasing and presents significant challenges for the inland marine insurance industry. Dr. Klotzbach provides timely and relevant data developed for Colorado State University's first Atlantic seasonal hurricane forecast to be issued in early June 2023.

Meta Tag

Module Loss Control & Claims

Keywords

hurricanes

US

2023 hurricane season

forecasting

El Nino

La Nina

climate phenomena

historical data

forecast uncertainty

climate change